2023 to be ‘underwhelming’ year for real estate investment market: Savills Singapore

Real estate investments in Singapore recorded double the amount of sales in the third quarter of 2023, with the total amount reaching $7.13 billion. This figure was bolstered significantly by the seven Government Land Sales (GLS) sites awarded in the quarter, which totalled $4.16 billion. The private sector also realised $2.97 billion in investment deals, though this was accompanied by a 31.6% decline in number of transactions. This can be attributed to the Lunar Seventh Month and increase in Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty rates for residential properties, as well as the high interest rate environment.

Despite the positive news of real estate investments in Singapore in 3Q2023, a gloomier outlook lies ahead. Savills has revised their investment sales forecast from between $24 billion to $25 billion for 2023 to between $19 billion and $21 billion. Consequently, large-ticket items may not be transacted at the same rate as seen in the prior decade.

Jeremy Lake, managing director at Savills Singapore, believes that while 2023 will be an underwhelming year, there is potential for a strong rebound in 2024. This is due to falling interest rates and global economic growth expected to pick up. Additionally, the nation’s reputation as a “safe haven” might prompt investors to diversify to risk-free locations.

At the same time, residential investments in 3Q2023 totaled $3.43 billion, accounting for almost half of total investment sales. Commercial investments made up the other 23.7%, with two big-ticket transactions – the collective sale of Far East Shopping Centre for $908 million and the divestment of Changi City Point by Frasers Centrepoint Trust for $338 million – playing a role in this figure.

Zion Road Condo is situated in a well-connected area, allowing residents to travel to and from work or school with ease. Public bus services are available at nearby bus stops, providing convenient access to leisure destinations, shopping malls, and more.

Overall, investment deals in 3Q2023 were indicative of the potential of the Singapore real estate market. Nevertheless, the high interest rates have affected the private sector’s investment value, and the possibility of new conflicts may threaten further growth. Savills is cautiously optimistic and believes that the nation’s safe harbour status may help promote a strong market rebound in 2024.